Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.017172 0.018915 0.020675 0.022580 0.024579 0.026612 0.028830
2025-07-13 0.014031 0.016766 0.019644 0.022879 0.026392 0.030074 0.034207
2025-07-20 0.011823 0.015069 0.018598 0.022672 0.027205 0.032053 0.037593
2025-07-27 0.010178 0.013761 0.017771 0.022511 0.027887 0.033731 0.040503
2025-08-03 0.009382 0.013314 0.017818 0.023238 0.029478 0.036341 0.044374
2025-08-10 0.008176 0.012265 0.017073 0.022972 0.029868 0.037549 0.046630
2025-08-17 0.007117 0.011300 0.016346 0.022656 0.030141 0.038572 0.048632
2025-08-24 0.006246 0.010494 0.015751 0.022442 0.030486 0.039638 0.050648
2025-08-31 0.005460 0.009732 0.015155 0.022180 0.030735 0.040562 0.052475
2025-09-07 0.004830 0.009124 0.014713 0.022071 0.031136 0.041640 0.054458
2025-09-14 0.004121 0.008344 0.014002 0.021587 0.031053 0.042123 0.055729
2025-09-21 0.003473 0.007590 0.013277 0.021048 0.030871 0.042464 0.056814
2025-09-28 0.002719 0.006636 0.012283 0.020194 0.030363 0.042505 0.057664
2025-10-05 0.002389 0.006321 0.012165 0.020492 0.031312 0.044328 0.060671
2025-10-12 0.001966 0.005791 0.011701 0.020297 0.031616 0.045352 0.062710
2025-10-19 0.001612 0.005324 0.011290 0.020145 0.031951 0.046398 0.064764
2025-10-26 0.001492 0.005275 0.011495 0.020830 0.033359 0.048759 0.068398
2025-11-02 0.001189 0.004816 0.011041 0.020579 0.033538 0.049593 0.070182
2025-11-09 0.000923 0.004370 0.010573 0.020282 0.033638 0.050314 0.071818
2025-11-16 0.000713 0.003995 0.010188 0.020081 0.033847 0.051159 0.073596
2025-11-23 0.000531 0.003629 0.009787 0.019835 0.033981 0.051898 0.075236
2025-11-30 0.000397 0.003342 0.009495 0.019733 0.034295 0.052857 0.077140
2025-12-07 0.000255 0.002950 0.008984 0.019278 0.034114 0.053175 0.078243